XRP Technical Analysis: Indicators Point to Major Bullish Reversal

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Georgi Minev
11 April, 2026, 14:22
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XRP Signals a Potential Macro Bottom as Key Indicators Flash Bullish Reversal

The cryptocurrency market is once again turning its attention to XRP, as a combination of technical and on-chain indicators suggests the asset may be approaching a critical inflection point. After enduring an extended eight-month downtrend, XRP is now showing signs that historically aligned with major market bottoms — a development that could spark renewed bullish momentum.

XRP/BTC RSI Hits Extreme Oversold Levels

Recent data from TradingView reveals that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of the XRP/BTC trading pair has dropped to 24 — its lowest level since October 2025. This deeply oversold reading has previously marked key reversal zones.

Historically, similar RSI conditions have preceded explosive XRP rallies against Bitcoin, ranging from 65% to as much as 345% gains. These patterns were observed during late 2024 and multiple periods throughout 2025, reinforcing the reliability of this signal.

Adding to the bullish case, XRP/BTC continues to trade within a long-term consolidation range — a structure that has consistently acted as a launchpad for strong upward moves.

Historical Patterns Suggest Strong Upside Potential

The last major bottom for XRP against Bitcoin occurred in June 2025, triggering a 61% surge in the XRP/BTC ratio. This move coincided with a broader XRP rally of approximately 92%, pushing the price to a multi-year high of $3.66.

Similar historical instances further validate the importance of this consolidation zone, with repeated rebounds indicating strong institutional accumulation and market confidence at these levels.

MVRV Z-Score Indicates Accumulation Phase

On-chain data provides additional confirmation that XRP may be undervalued. The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Z-score — a key metric for identifying market tops and bottoms — is currently hovering near zero.

This level has historically aligned with accumulation zones, where investors begin positioning for long-term upside. It also suggests that most XRP holders are near breakeven, significantly reducing selling pressure.

Previous occurrences of similar MVRV conditions in 2021, 2022, and 2024 were followed by substantial bullish cycles. Notably, in late 2024, XRP bottomed near $0.30 before rallying over 500% to surpass $3.00.

SUI Fails Key $1 Test: Why Technical Indicators Point to a Deeper Sell-Off

At present, the critical MVRV pricing band of 0.80 — often associated with cycle bottoms — sits around $1.14, aligning closely with recent market lows.

Current XRP Price and Key Levels to Watch

As of today, XRP is trading at approximately $1.32, showing early signs of stabilization after prolonged downside pressure.

The $1.25–$1.30 support zone remains the most important level for bulls. Holding above this range keeps the short-term structure intact and opens the door for a potential rebound toward:

$1.45 (short-term resistance)
$1.61 (range high and control level for bulls)
$1.70+ (extended upside target)

On the downside, losing this support could trigger increased volatility. The next major demand zone sits at $1.15, which coincides with the 200-week moving average — a historically strong support level.

A breakdown below this region could expose XRP to a deeper correction toward $0.80, representing a potential 40% decline from current levels.

Cost Basis Data Strengthens Support Zone

On-chain heatmaps show that approximately 1.73 billion XRP were accumulated around the $1.25–$1.30 range. This creates a strong psychological and structural support zone, as many investors are likely to defend their positions.

Such high-volume accumulation zones often act as price floors, further increasing the probability of a rebound if the level continues to hold.

Is XRP Preparing for a Major Breakout?

The convergence of multiple bullish indicators — including oversold RSI levels, supportive MVRV signals, and strong historical precedents — suggests that XRP may be nearing a macro bottom.

While short-term uncertainty remains, the broader setup points toward a potential trend reversal, especially if key support levels continue to hold.

For traders and investors, the coming weeks could prove à¤¨à¤¿à¤°à¥à¤£ decisive, as XRP attempts to transition from a prolonged downtrend into a new accumulation and expansion phase.