XRP Price Jumps 30% from Lows: Why MacroVision Warns the Downtrend Isn't Over

XRP Recovery Remains Fragile: MacroVision Warns Medium-Term Downtrend Persists Despite Short-Term Bounce

XRP has staged a notable short-term rebound, climbing more than 30% from its recent lows following a sharp sell-off that formed a new lower low. While the price recovery has injected fresh optimism, cryptocurrency analysis firm MacroVision cautions that the broader medium-term downtrend remains firmly intact.

In its latest chart assessment, MacroVision highlighted that rapid, high-velocity declines—such as the one XRP recently experienced—are characteristic of late-stage major corrections and often coincide with investor capitulation. The subsequent sharp reversal, while technically impressive, aligns with classic initial reactions seen after aggressive sell-offs rather than confirmation of a structural shift.

Key Technical Observations from MacroVision

• The overall structure continues to exhibit lower highs and lower lows, a hallmark of an ongoing bearish trend.
• A resistance cluster—formed by the descending red trendline and the major supply zone near $2.20—caps any meaningful upside at present.
• Until this cluster is decisively broken, it remains premature to declare a trend reversal.

MacroVision emphasized that the pattern of lower peaks persists, keeping the medium-term outlook bearish unless proven otherwise by a clear breakout.

Critical Levels to Monitor

• Upside trigger — A sustained reclaim of the $1.80–$1.85 range would serve as a strong technical signal, significantly increasing the probability of continued recovery and potentially shifting momentum in favor of bulls.
• Short-term support — The liquidity zone extending down to $1.35 remains a vital buffer. Holding above this area would help preserve the current recovery structure.
• Warning sign — Deep and sudden pullbacks during the rebound phase could indicate fading momentum and increase the risk of new lows, a pattern that has repeated in previous corrective phases.

Current XRP Price Context (February 9, 2026)

As of early February 9, XRP trades in the $1.35–$1.45 range (with recent highs approaching $1.50 during the bounce). The token has recovered significantly from its recent lows but remains well below the $2.20 resistance cluster that MacroVision identifies as the key medium-term hurdle.

Trading volume has increased during the rally, reflecting renewed participation, though broader market sentiment remains cautious following weeks of widespread selling pressure across crypto assets.

Why the Medium-Term Downtrend Still Dominates

MacroVision’s assessment aligns with the prevailing technical structure:

• The descending red trendline continues to act as dynamic resistance.
• Failure to break the $1.80–$1.85 zone keeps sellers in control of the intermediate timeframe.
• Historical precedent shows that sharp post-sell-off bounces often precede further downside unless accompanied by structural confirmation (higher highs, volume expansion, and trendline breaks).

While the short-term recovery demonstrates buyer resilience, MacroVision stresses that deep pullbacks during this phase should be viewed as cautionary rather than healthy consolidation. Similar patterns in past cycles have frequently led to retests of lows or the formation of new ones.

Outlook: Relief Rally vs. Structural Bearishness

The current bounce offers tactical breathing room and highlights XRP’s ability to attract dip-buying interest. However, MacroVision’s analysis underscores that medium-term conviction remains bearish absent a clear break of the $1.80–$1.85 resistance cluster and the overhead trendline.

Traders should watch closely for:

• Bullish confirmation — Sustained close above $1.85 with strong volume → targets higher resistance and improves the recovery outlook.
• Bearish warning — Rejection at $1.80–$1.85 or a deep pullback below $1.35 → increases downside risk toward lower liquidity zones.
• Volume and momentum — Continued expansion on upside candles would support bulls; contraction or divergence would reinforce caution.

Until structural evidence emerges—particularly a decisive break of the resistance cluster—the medium-term outlook leans bearish, even as short-term relief prevails. The $1.80–$1.85 zone stands as the pivotal battleground for determining whether XRP can transition from recovery mode to a more sustained reversal.

Srebrin Petrov publication: "XRP Price Jumps 30% from Lows: Why MacroVision Warns the Downtrend Isn't Over" was written for 24crypto.news

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