XRP ETF Alert: First Net Outflows Since January as Friday’s $16M Exit Ends Inflow Streak

US Spot XRP ETFs Record First Net Outflows Since Late January — $4.09M Weekly Loss Amid Mixed Signals

US spot XRP ETFs ended the first week of March 2026 with net outflows of $4.09 million — the first negative weekly balance since January 30, 2026. Friday alone saw $16.62 million withdrawn, the largest single-day outflow since January 29 ($92.92 million). This ends a five-week inflow streak that began in late February.

Breakdown by Provider

• 21Shares led outflows with $10.60 million on Friday (nearly two-thirds of the day’s total).
• Bitwise: $3.65 million.
• Grayscale: $2.37 million.
• Canary Capital and Franklin Templeton: Zero movement.

Cumulative AUM across the seven active XRP ETFs fell from $1.26 billion midweek to $1.24 billion. Since launch (Canary Capital’s XRPC on November 13, 2025), total net inflows stand at approximately $1.22 billion — representing ~1.16% of XRP’s total market cap.

Market Leadership Remains Tight

• Canary Capital (XRPC) holds the top spot with $266 million AUM.
• Bitwise trails by less than $1 million at $265 million.
• Franklin Templeton pursues aggressive fee competition (0.19% expense ratio + full waiver up to $1 billion AUM) vs. Canary’s 0.50%.

Conflicting On-Chain Signals

While ETF investors pulled capital, on-chain data showed the opposite:

• Large investors (whales) increased holdings from 10.87 billion to 11.01 billion XRP between March 5–9 — a net gain of ~140 million XRP (~$200 million at current prices).
• The 30-day whale flow metric turned positive for the first time in over three months.

This divergence — institutional ETF selling vs. crypto-native whale accumulation — has occurred frequently with Bitcoin ETFs in the past and resolved in both directions. It suggests differentiated positioning: traditional institutions de-risking, while long-term holders or ecosystem participants accumulate.

Price Action and Technical Context

XRP’s price fell in parallel from a weekly high of $1.47 to $1.34 — down ~9% from the peak. Sellers rejected price at $1.45 on Wednesday, accelerating the decline. The $1.30 level now stands as the next key support.

Broader macro pressure weighed on risk assets:

• Ongoing US-Iran conflict and oil price volatility.
• Declining trading volume and open interest signaling weakening momentum.

Outlook: Marginal Outflow vs. Structural Demand

The $4 million weekly outflow is small relative to $1.24 billion total AUM — far less severe than January’s single-day $93 million withdrawal (which recovered within a week). The decisive factors remain:

• Whether $1.30 support holds.
• Continuation of whale accumulation (~$200 million in recent days).
• Broader market sentiment and ETF flow consistency.

If support holds and whales keep buying, the outflow could prove tactical rather than trend-setting. A break below $1.30 would increase downside risk and pressure the $1.24 billion AUM base.

The mixed signals highlight XRP’s unique position: strong institutional ETF interest since launch, real-world payment utility, and whale conviction — yet still subject to macro/geopolitical volatility and short-term rotation pressures.

Robert Petrov publication: "XRP ETF Alert: First Net Outflows Since January as Friday’s $16M Exit Ends Inflow Streak" was written for 24crypto.news

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